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Iran After
The Elections; Now What?
By: George Moore, Massachusetts,
U.S.A.
Yes, as you noted, the elections in Iran
is over and the predictions were easily projected. The question
is: What now?
The expectations amongst the Iranian people
is high. That expectation is that this government must find a
way to lower the poverty rate and to reduce severely the power
of the mullahs. Therein lies the problem. As I stated before,
a state cannot exist that is trying to mix a theocracy with a
democracy [in the Western sense].
By their very nature, a theocracy is founded
on dogma and cannot change basically. Therefore, Iran must become
all one thing. That is either a truly democratic state or face
a revolution when or if the needed reforms are not instituted
by the new government. However, when you have a group of elders
who have veto power over any reforms that threaten their wealth
and power, then this elections takes on the all the reflections
of a fraud perpetrated on the voters.
One cannot address the multi problems in
Iran in a short essay or letter of this type. This especially
from an "outsider" who has no family or
close ties to Iran. My ties are confined to a few knowledgeable
Americans of Iranian descent. As Mao Tze Tzung is reputed to
have said,"Political power comes out of the barrel of a
gun". If this be true then how does Iran differ from China
or any other nation whose fate, for good or ill, was decided
not at a ballot box but in a civil war?
I do not know who controls the military
in Iran but if the president does not control them, then he has
no chance of enforcing his reforms. If however, the military
backs him, what then? Do we go back to the same ways that led
to the downfall of the Shah?
History is replete with middle of the road
"reformers" such as the present ruler and it also shows
them ground under by extreme pressures from those who want reforms
and those who oppose them. Oft times, the people are out in front
of their rulers as to the needs and desires of the people, and
I am afraid that President Khatami is too closely tied to the
class he sprung from to oppose them with force.
To paraphrase Abraham Lincoln, he once
said that he did not dictate events as much as he was dictated
to by events. So it will be with the present government in Iran.
They can seize the moment as they have the people on their side
for now, but if they don't, then Kerinsky and other ghosts await
them in a hell reserved for those who vacillate.
I look at Demavand peak as an allegory
for today's Iran. This great and majestic peak may slumber
forever or then again as a volcanic cone lying in a notorious
fault zone it may explode with tremendous violence. The people
of ancient Persia did not build their greatness by lying dormant.
I do hope that peace between America and Iran may soon come so
my friends can go home to those that love them without fear.
Bless you. By the way, I still consider myself an expert in football!
(End)
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